FITRIATI, SRI and Rini, Dian Palupi and firdaus, firdaus (2024) PENERAPAN MODEL ARIMA UNTUK PREDIKSI TINGKAT PERCERAIAN BULANAN PADA PENGADILAN AGAMA DI SUMATERA SELATAN. Masters thesis, Sriwijaya University.
![[thumbnail of RAMA_55101_09012682125001.pdf]](http://repository.unsri.ac.id/style/images/fileicons/text.png) |
Text
RAMA_55101_09012682125001.pdf - Accepted Version Restricted to Repository staff only Available under License Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication. Download (16MB) |
|
Text
RAMA_55101_09012682125001_TURNITIN.pdf - Accepted Version Restricted to Repository staff only Available under License Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication. Download (4MB) |
|
Text
RAMA_55101_09012682125001_0023027804_0221017801_01_front_ref.pdf - Accepted Version Available under License Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication. Download (1MB) |
|
Text
RAMA_55101_09012682125001_0023027804_0221017801_02.pdf - Accepted Version Restricted to Repository staff only Available under License Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication. Download (263kB) |
|
Text
RAMA_55101_09012682125001_0023027804_0221017801_03.pdf - Accepted Version Restricted to Repository staff only Available under License Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication. Download (221kB) |
|
Text
RAMA_55101_09012682125001_0023027804_0221017801_04.pdf - Accepted Version Available under License Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication. Download (394kB) |
|
Text
RAMA_55101_09012682125001_0023027804_0221017801_05.pdf - Accepted Version Available under License Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication. Download (25kB) |
|
Text
RAMA_55101_09012682125001_0023027804_0221017801_06_ref.pdf - Bibliography Restricted to Repository staff only Available under License Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication. Download (76kB) |
|
Text
RAMA_55101_09012682125001_0023027804_0221017801_07_lamp.pdf - Accepted Version Restricted to Repository staff only Available under License Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication. Download (14MB) |
Abstract
Predicting the divorce rate is important to be done because the data has a trend in numbers that change every month. So that court officials or social scientists in developing effective strategies to overcome marriage problems, allocate resources, or support families who need counseling, can be prepared in advance, especially at the Religious Courts of South Sumatra in order to reduce the divorce rate because the purpose of marriage is not to divorce. The aim of this research is to describe a suitable model for predicting divorce rates using Autoreggressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Method. The results of the research are ARIMA best model used is (1,0,2) and (2,0,2), with levels error 0.48% by using Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). It can also be said that the accuracy level of applying ARIMA to predict the monthly divorce rate in the Religious Courts of South Sumatra is 99.52%. The author also compares ARIMA model with other time series methods, Fuzzy time series, with an error rate of MAPE 0.82% which is greater than ARIMA.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Masters) |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | ARIMA model, Predict the Divorce, fuzzy time series |
| Subjects: | Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA75-76.95 Calculating machines > QA76 Computer software |
| Divisions: | 09-Faculty of Computer Science > 55101-Informatics (S2) |
| Depositing User: | Mrs Sri Fitriati |
| Date Deposited: | 22 May 2024 07:19 |
| Last Modified: | 22 May 2024 07:19 |
| URI: | http://repository.unsri.ac.id/id/eprint/145208 |
Actions (login required)
 |
View Item |