ANALISIS PENGARUH NILAI TUKAR RIIL TERHADAP NERACA PERDAGANGAN INDONESIA (KONDISI MARSHALLLERNER DAN FENOMENA KURVA-J) (PERIODE 1970-2011)

ASTRIA, MARETTA RIZKY AYU and Ishak, Zulkarnain and Adnan, Nazeli (2013) ANALISIS PENGARUH NILAI TUKAR RIIL TERHADAP NERACA PERDAGANGAN INDONESIA (KONDISI MARSHALLLERNER DAN FENOMENA KURVA-J) (PERIODE 1970-2011). Undergraduate thesis, Sriwijaya University.

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Abstract

Tujuan penulisan skripsi ini adalah untuk mengetahui dan menganalisis pengaruh Nilai Tukar Riil terhadap Neraca Perdagangan Indonesia. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data sekunder yang merupakan publikasi Bank Indonesia (BI) dan Bank Dunia (World Bank) periode 1970 sampai 2011, yaitu data Nilai Tukar Riil dan Neraca Perdagangan. Teknik analisis yang digunakan adalah metode Error Correction Model (ECM). Hasil regresi menghasilkan dua temuan penting yaitu: (1) bahwa dalam jangka pendek Nilai Tukar Riil memiliki pengaruh positif dan tidak signifikan terhadap Neraca Perdagangan. Sedangkan dalam jangka panjang Nilai Tukar Riil memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap Neraca Perdagangan. (2) dalam jangka pendek kondisi Marshall-Lemer tidak terpenuhi sedangkan dalam jangka panjang kondisi Marshall-Lemer terpenuhi. Kata Kunci: Nilai Tukar Riil, Neraca Perdagangan, Error Correction Model (ECM)

Item Type: Thesis (Undergraduate)
Uncontrolled Keywords: Nilai Tukar Riil, Neraca Perdagangan, Error Correction Model (ECM)
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance > HG1-9999 Finance
Divisions: 01-Faculty of Economics > 60201-Development Economics (S1)
Depositing User: Mrs. Elly Suryani
Date Deposited: 14 Jul 2021 07:23
Last Modified: 14 Jul 2021 07:23
URI: http://repository.unsri.ac.id/id/eprint/49854

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