PREDIKSI HARGA BAHAN BAKAR MINYAK DI INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN HIDDEN MARKOV MODEL

WIBOWO, BOBBY CATUR and Efendi, Rusdi and Miraswan, Kanda Januar (2020) PREDIKSI HARGA BAHAN BAKAR MINYAK DI INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN HIDDEN MARKOV MODEL. Undergraduate thesis, Sriwijaya University.

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Abstract

Salah satu contoh kasus penelitian yang dihadapi di bidang peramalan adalah memprediksi harga bahan bakar minyak. Penelitian ini berfokus pada pengembangan perangkat lunak untuk memprediksi harga bahan bakar minyak dengan menggunakan Hidden Markov Model. Masalah utama adalah bagaimana mendapatkan nilai MAPE yang baik dalam mempredikisi harga bahan bakar minyak. Data yang digunakan pada penelitian ini merupakan data perubahan harga bahan bakar minyak jenis Pertalite yang didapatkan dari PT.Pertamina Persero. Hasil dari pengujian yang dilakukan dalam penelitian ini mendapatkan nilai MAPE tertinggi 0.99%. Dari hasil tersebut dapat disimpulkan bahwa penggunaan metode Hidden Markov Model untuk prediksi perubahan harga bahan bakar minyak mendapatkan hasil yang cukup baik.

Item Type: Thesis (Undergraduate)
Uncontrolled Keywords: Prediksi, Hidden Markov Model
Subjects: T Technology > TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) > TA174.A385 Engineering design--Data processing. Manufacturing processes--Data processing. Computer integrated manufacturing systems. Manufacturing processes--Automation. CAD/CAM systems.
Divisions: 09-Faculty of Computer Science > 55201-Informatics (S1)
Depositing User: Users 7407 not found.
Date Deposited: 18 Aug 2020 02:25
Last Modified: 18 Aug 2020 02:25
URI: http://repository.unsri.ac.id/id/eprint/33144

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