OPTIMASI FUZZY TIME SERIES MENGGUNAKAN PARTICLE SWARM OPTIMIZATION PADA PERAMALAN PEMBELIAN BAHAN BAKU PUPUK NPK

RAMADHANTI, ATAN WICAKSANA and Rini, Dian Palupi and Rodiah, Desty (2020) OPTIMASI FUZZY TIME SERIES MENGGUNAKAN PARTICLE SWARM OPTIMIZATION PADA PERAMALAN PEMBELIAN BAHAN BAKU PUPUK NPK. Undergraduate thesis, Sriwijaya University.

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Abstract

Peramalan pembelian bahan baku pupuk NPK adalah kegiatan mengestimasi jumlah pembelian bahan baku pupuk NPK dalam waktu satu bulan di masa mendatang. Peramalan dengan Fuzzy Time Series Ruey Chyn Tsaur dilakukan dengan menghitung hasil perkalian titik. Oleh karena itu, Particle Swarm Optimization digunakan untuk mengoptimasi nilai interval pada Fuzzy Time Series Ruey Chyn Tsaur tersebut. Penelitian ini membandingkan metode Fuzzy Time Series Ruey Chyn Tsaur dan Optimasi Fuzzy Time Series Ruey Chyn Tsaur dengan Particle Swarm Optimization untuk mendapatkan hasil peramalan dengan tingkat kesalahan terendah. Optimasi Fuzzy Time Series Ruey Chyn Tsaur menggunakan Particle Swarm Optimization menghasilkan nilai MSE yang lebih baik yaitu 13078560,42 dibandingkan nilai MSE dari Fuzzy Time Series Ruey Chyn Tsaur yang dilakukan tanpa metode optimasi yaitu 16075555,97.

Item Type:	Thesis (Undergraduate)
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Pupuk NPK, Fuzzy Time Series Ruey Chyn Tsaur, Particle Swarm
Subjects:	Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA1-939 Mathematics > QA9.64.A56 Computer science. Fuzzy mathematics.
Divisions:	09-Faculty of Computer Science > 55201-Informatics (S1)
Depositing User:	Users 6345 not found.
Date Deposited:	10 Jul 2020 06:09
Last Modified:	10 Jul 2020 06:09
URI:	http://repository.unsri.ac.id/id/eprint/31166

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